User Tag List

Results 1 to 20 of 22

Thread: Let's pick a tungsten point...

Hybrid View

  1. #1
    digitus impudicus
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Canberra. Aus.
    Posts
    6,881
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    300
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    13033

    Let's pick a tungsten point...

    Suppose you're shooting with a famous archer at his range at home.
    You both start shooting and all of a sudden, he says "Damn!" and stops.
    You ask what's up and he pulls out all his arrows and holds them up.

    All but two have tungsten points.

    You offer to go get two more to make a full set and walk into his shed.

    He calls out to you:
    "I was refletching yesterday.
    There should be a mix.
    There are three arrow tubes.
    One will have two tungsten arrows.
    One will have two stainless
    and the other will have a stainless and a tungsten point."

    No problem.
    You walk up to the closest arrow tube and pull an arrow out. It's a tungsten point.

    What are the chances that the remaining arrow in the tube is also a tungsten point?
    Status is not defined by the amount of gear in your signature.
    Performance cannot be purchased.

    "The Internet offers everything - except quality control" - K. Anders Ericsson.


  2. #2
    Learning the Ropes
    Join Date
    Oct 2015
    Location
    Jane Brook, WA
    Posts
    56
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    500
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    0
    50%

  3. #3
    Learning the Ropes
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Posts
    79
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    500
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    124
    1/3

  4. #4
    digitus impudicus
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Canberra. Aus.
    Posts
    6,881
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    300
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    13033
    Anyone else?
    Status is not defined by the amount of gear in your signature.
    Performance cannot be purchased.

    "The Internet offers everything - except quality control" - K. Anders Ericsson.


  5. #5
    Learning the Ropes
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Posts
    79
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    500
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    124
    Quote Originally Posted by iandall View Post
    1/3
    Actually, I take it back. Phil is right. 50%.

    Somehow I jumped to the conclusion that there were two mixed tubes. I guess I was still thinking about two-up.

  6. #6
    digitus impudicus
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Canberra. Aus.
    Posts
    6,881
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    300
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    13033
    This probability question is well over a century old.

    Nobody here has posted the correct answer yet.
    Status is not defined by the amount of gear in your signature.
    Performance cannot be purchased.

    "The Internet offers everything - except quality control" - K. Anders Ericsson.


  7. #7
    1st Class Matrix Makeover's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    Wairarapa
    Posts
    765
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    500
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    14856
    Quote Originally Posted by Andy! View Post
    This probability question is well over a century old.
    Is it the expensive version of the socks in the drawer scenario? I can't be bothered, but if that is the right comparison, it might help someone else?
    "I used to read, but it's faster to make up stuff" - Wally (Dilbert)

  8. #8
    digitus impudicus
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Canberra. Aus.
    Posts
    6,881
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    300
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    13033
    No.
    Status is not defined by the amount of gear in your signature.
    Performance cannot be purchased.

    "The Internet offers everything - except quality control" - K. Anders Ericsson.


  9. #9
    2nd Class sb954's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Posts
    253
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    500
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    0
    100%

    Sent from my SM-N910G using Tapatalk

  10. #10
    3rd Class whoknows's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2006
    Location
    Adelaide
    Posts
    154
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    10
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    8543
    Thanks Andy, my head hurts now after reading that

  11. Thanks Andy! thanked for this post
  12. #11
    digitus impudicus
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Canberra. Aus.
    Posts
    6,881
    Tournaments Joined
    0
    Tournaments Won
    0
    Post Thanks / Like
    vCash
    300
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Rep Power
    13033
    Quote Originally Posted by sb954 View Post
    100%
    100% ? But there's one tube that has a tungsten and a stainless in it. What's to say you haven't gone to that tube, and pulled the tungsten out first? That would be zero percent if you were at that tube.
    Status is not defined by the amount of gear in your signature.
    Performance cannot be purchased.

    "The Internet offers everything - except quality control" - K. Anders Ericsson.


Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •